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Mazatlan vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mazatlan vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Mazatlan will take on Queretaro in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio El Encanto on Friday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Mazatlan as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX game between Mazatlan and Queretaro, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 38.3% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 33.9% chance for Queretaro, and a 27.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +160 | +155 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | -105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +160 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -105 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 1-1 QUE | 13.1% |
| MZA 1-0 QUE | 11.5% |
| MZA 0-1 QUE | 10.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.2% chance of both Mazatlan and Queretaro finding the net and a 51.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Mazatlan and Queretaro at Estadio El Encanto is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Queretaro
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Encanto
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 38.3% win probability on Friday, Queretaro has a 33.9% win probability, and there is a 27.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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