Queretaro vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on April 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
1
:
1
Estadio El Encanto
Mazatlan
Estadio El Encanto
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
B. Rubio (pen.) (30')
Soccer ball icon
A. Avila (pen.) (41')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Robles replaces B. Duarte
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Cazares replaces F. Venegas
  3. 82'
    Yellow Card
    F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces Y. Barcenas
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: O. F. Moreno Villegas replaces J. Ovalle
  6. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces J. Unjanque
  7. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
  8. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Fabio Gomes replaces B. Rubio
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces S. Godinez
  10. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila (pen.)
    1-1
  11. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by B. Rubio (pen.)
    0-1
  12. 24'
    Yellow Card
    M. Zaleta (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  13. 24'
    Yellow Card
    L. Abascia (Queretaro) cautioned

Queretaro vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +143, Mazatlan +190, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 34.1%
  • Mazatlan: 38.3%
  • Draw: 27.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 1-1 Mazatlan (13.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Queretaro vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Mazatlan is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.3%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 1-1 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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