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Juarez vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Juarez vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Juarez will take on Monterrey in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, commencing at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Juarez vs. Monterrey game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Juarez vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 32.7% chance of Juarez winning, a 42.4% chance for Monterrey, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Juarez vs. Monterrey odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Juarez | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +170 | +150 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -106 | -114 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Juarez vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monterrey | +150 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -106 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Juarez vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| JUA 1-1 MNT | 11.7% |
| JUA 1-2 MNT | 9% |
| JUA 0-1 MNT | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.2% chance of both Juarez and Monterrey finding the net and a 42.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Juarez vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between Juarez and Monterrey is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Juarez vs. Monterrey
- Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Juarez has a 32.7% win probability on Friday, Monterrey has a 42.4% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Juarez vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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