Monterrey vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Juarez Liga MX match on March 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
2
:
2
Juarez
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
J. M. Torres Ramirez I. (49')
Soccer ball icon
O. Estupinan (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
U. Djurdjevic (1')
Soccer ball icon
J. Corona (45')
Soccer ball icon
V. Guzman (57')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan (pen.)
    2-2
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Reyes replaces L. Orellano
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: R. Fulgencio replaces J. Aquino
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: J. Murillo replaces D. Garcia
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: E. Ayon replaces L. Dupuy
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: O. Estupinan replaces R. Pizarro
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: C. Bustos replaces A. Rojas
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces J. Corona
  10. 57'
    Red Card
    V. Guzman (Monterrey) sent off for a second yellow card
  11. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by J. M. Torres Ramirez I., assisted by Puma
    2-1
  12. 47'
    Yellow Card
    R. Chavez (Monterrey) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Corona, assisted by C. Reyes
    2-0
  14. 26'
    Yellow Card
    V. Guzman (Monterrey) cautioned
  15. 22'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: C. Reyes replaces L. Ocampos
  16. 22'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Rojas replaces I. Fimbres
  17. 14'
    Yellow Card
    J. Manriquez (Juarez) cautioned
  18. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by L. Orellano
    1-0

Monterrey vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Juarez
  • Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +163, Juarez +160, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 39.9%
  • Juarez: 35.3%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Juarez (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.9%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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