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Guadalajara vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 9:07 PM ET as Puebla takes on the favored Guadalajara in the playoffs at Estadio Akron.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Puebla game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Guadalajara and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 68.5% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 12.8% chance for Puebla, and an 18.7% chance of a draw.
Guadalajara vs. Puebla odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Guadalajara | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -340 | +800 | +450 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Puebla | +800 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Guadalajara vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 2-0 PUE | 11.8% |
| GUA 1-0 PUE | 10.9% |
| GUA 2-1 PUE | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.6% chance of both Guadalajara and Puebla finding the net and a 50.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Guadalajara vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Guadalajara and Puebla at Estadio Akron is scheduled to begin at 9:07 PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Puebla
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 9:07 PM ET/6:07PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Akron
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 68.5% win probability on Saturday, Puebla has a 12.8% win probability, and there is an 18.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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