Puebla vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Puebla

Apr 18, 9:07 PM ET Estadio Akron

Guadalajara

Apr 18, 9:07 PM ET Estadio Akron

GuadalajaraGCH

Score Summary

PueblaPBL

B. Gonzalez (19')

R. Marin (27')

B. Gutierrez (51')

B. Gonzalez (82')

H. Camberos (84')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Guadalajara
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Puebla
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

84'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by H. Camberos, assisted by S. Sandoval
0-5
82'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez
0-4
79'
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces E. Navarro
78'
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces R. Alvarado
78'
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Perez replaces E. Alvarez
77'
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces J. Castillo
68'
F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
65'
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces B. Gutierrez
60'
Substitution for Puebla: L. Rey replaces E. Navarro
60'
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces A. Organista
56'
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces R. Marin
51'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gutierrez, assisted by A. Gonzalez
0-3
46'
Substitution for Puebla: A. Gamarra replaces A. Canelo
27'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by B. Gutierrez
0-2
19'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by E. Alvarez
0-1
15'
Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces K. Velasco

Puebla vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Puebla vs. Guadalajara
Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
Time: 9:07 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Akron

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Puebla +1000, Guadalajara -385, draw +525
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-200/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Puebla: 12.8%
Guadalajara: 68.5%
Draw: 18.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Puebla vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.5%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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