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Guadalajara vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Guadalajara will face Pachuca in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Akron on Saturday, starting at 6:07 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Guadalajara and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 51.1% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 23.9% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Guadalajara | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +310 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -112 | -108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pachuca | +310 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -108 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pachuca to win.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 1-1 PCH | 11.8% |
| GUA 1-0 PCH | 11.6% |
| GUA 2-1 PCH | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.1% chance that both Guadalajara and Pachuca score, and a 48.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Guadalajara and Pachuca at Estadio Akron is scheduled to begin at 6:07 PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Pachuca
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 6:07 PM ET/3:07PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Akron
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 51.1% win probability on Saturday, Pachuca has a 23.9% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guadalajara vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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