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Guadalajara vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 6:07 PM ET as Pachuca squares off with Guadalajara in the playoffs at Estadio Akron.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Guadalajara and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 52.0% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 23.8% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Guadalajara | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -160 | +400 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -144 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pachuca | +400 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +118 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pachuca to win.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 1-1 PCH | 11.5% |
| GUA 1-0 PCH | 10.9% |
| GUA 2-1 PCH | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 46.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Guadalajara vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Guadalajara and Pachuca at Estadio Akron is scheduled to start at 6:07 PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Pachuca
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 6:07 PM ET/3:07PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Akron
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 52.0% win probability on Saturday, Pachuca has a 23.8% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guadalajara vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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