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Pachuca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pachuca vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
0
2
Jan 10, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Jan 10, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
A. Gonzalez (17')
Soccer ball icon
D. Aguirre (45')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: J. Cadiz replaces A. Dominguez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces B. Gutierrez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
83'
Yellow Card
A. Dominguez (Pachuca) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: O. Idrissi replaces Kenedy
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces R. Alvarado
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Rivera replaces L. Quinones
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Hernandez replaces A. Contreras
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces A. Gonzalez
55'
Yellow Card
A. Contreras (Pachuca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rondon replaces P. Pedraza
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by D. Aguirre, assisted by E. Alvarez
0-2
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez
0-1

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Pachuca vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +400, Guadalajara -160, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-144/+118)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pachuca: 23.8%
  • Guadalajara: 52.0%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.8% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 52.0%, with the draw at 24.2%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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