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Read Article Atlas vs. Tigres UANL prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlas vs Tigres UANL predictions for Liga MX Wednesday.
Atlas and Tigres UANL will meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Jalisco on Wednesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of the Atlas vs. Tigres UANL game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Atlas vs. Tigres UANL prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Liga MX matchup between Atlas and Tigres UANL, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 23.0% chance of Atlas winning, a 51.7% chance for Tigres UANL, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Atlas vs. Tigres UANL odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atlas | Tigres UANL | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +440 | -150 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -155 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atlas vs. Tigres UANL picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlas | +440 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +100 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atlas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atlas vs. Tigres UANL: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Tigres UANL win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATS 0-1 TUA | 12.4% |
| ATS 1-1 TUA | 12% |
| ATS 0-2 TUA | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Atlas vs. Tigres UANL game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between Atlas and Tigres UANL at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlas vs. Tigres UANL
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Jalisco
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atlas has a 23.0% win probability on Wednesday, Tigres UANL has a 51.7% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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