Tigres UANL vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Atlas Liga MX match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
0
:
0
Apr 22, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Apr 22, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
Gustavo Ferrareis (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Gamboa (Atlas) cautioned
90'
Red Card
Gustavo Ferrareis (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: G. Aguirre replaces J. Rodriguez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: F. Reyes replaces J. Angulo
79'
Yellow Card
J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces S. Hernandez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces D. Gonzalez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces E. Aguirre
70'
Yellow Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. E. Garcia replaces P. Ramirez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: M. Flores replaces O. Herrera
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Gignac replaces R. Aguirre
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: R. Guerrero replaces F. Gorriaran
35'
Yellow Card
F. Gorriaran (Tigres UANL) cautioned
17'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Brunetta replaces Joaquim

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Tigres UANL vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Atlas
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL -136, Atlas +450, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-133)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 51.7%
  • Atlas: 23.0%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-0 Atlas (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.7%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-0 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Tigres UANL vs. Atlas, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.