As a trader on the site, you can buy and sell Kalshi event contracts for several types of futures outcomes. They are priced between $0.01 and $1.00, and the price generally reflects the percentage probability of the outcome.
For most events, the contracts are based on “Yes” and “No” outcomes, and you need to buy shares for the correct prediction to win a payout. For example, if you bought “Yes” contracts for the market “Will the Bulls beat the Lakers?”, and the Bulls won, the market would resolve as “Yes” and the value would be $1.00.
As explained in our full Kalshi review, this website is a trading platform where you can buy and sell contracts for prediction markets that are centered around possible outcomes for future events. These contracts are priced between $0.01 and $1.00 based on the implied probability of the outcome happening as a percentage.
The contracts that you can buy are usually “Yes” and “No” positions on the possible outcome. For example, “Will the Eagles win the Super Bowl this year? Yes / No”.
As with traditional sports betting, you have to back the correct prediction to win a payout. If you buy contracts for a prediction that ultimately turns out to be incorrect, you lose your entire outlay.
From the short explanation given above, you might think that Kalshi and sports betting have a lot in common. While there is some crossover, that’s not exactly the case.
Kalshi is actually a trading platform that matches buyers and sellers for its prediction markets. As a result, the contracts for these prediction markets are based on market opinion. Unlike a traditional sportsbook, Kalshi doesn’t calculate odds and set the contract prices itself.
The price of these Yes/No outcome contracts at Kalshi is set based on a simple process:
To give you an example of how the event contract pricing works at Kalshi, we’ve used this sports prediction market that’s available on the site at the time of writing:
This is how the contracts and prices are displayed:
| 🎲 Chance | ✅ Yes | ❌ No | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit: | 60% | $0.60 | $0.40 |
| Milwaukee: | 40% | $0.40 | $0.60 |
Here, you can see that because Detroit has a 60% chance of winning, the “Yes” contract is priced at $0.60 and the “No” at $0.40. As Milwaukee has just a 40% chance of winning, the Yes/No contracts for their win outcome are the other way around; $0.40 for “Yes” and $0.60 for “No”.
To buy event contracts at Kalshi, the first thing that you must do is deposit funds into your account. Once you’ve done that, you can buy contracts in one of two ways:
Unlike a traditional sportsbook, Kalshi doesn’t make its money by adding a commission to the price of its trades. It’s an exchange platform that matches buyers and sellers for event contracts on prediction markets.
As a result, the site will charge you a fee for all contracts that you purchase. The math behind the Kalshi fees is based on the expected winnings on the contract, and some prediction markets have higher fees than others.
For example, special events like Kalshi election prediction markets, the Super Bowl, or awards ceremonies like the Oscars will often have higher fees. Additionally, if you place a contract order that isn’t immediately matched, you will be charged a reduced maker fee.
To fund your account, you have the following payment methods available to you at Kalshi:
The payout system at Kalshi is fairly simple. For starters, your predictions must be correct for you to receive a payout. If you have bought a contract for the correct outcome, the contract prices will close at $1.00, ultimately leaving you with a profit on every contract that you purchased.
For example, had you bought “Yes” contracts for Detroit to win, and they went on to win the game, the market would resolve as a “Yes”. If this position is settled, $1.00 for every contract purchased will be allocated to your cash balance.
If you’d bought your Detroit “Yes” contracts at $0.60, you’d have $0.40 profit on each of them. Of course, you also have to take off the fee that you’d paid for executing your fee as well.
The other option that you have is to try and sell your contracts before the prediction market has been resolved. Of course, this should only be done if it's in your interest and it requires you to find a buyer. Unlike with traditional sports betting, it’s not as simple as clicking a button to accept your early cashout offer.
For example, if the price of Detroit “Yes” were to move from $.60 per contract to $0.80 following a shift in trader opinion due to an injury to a key Milwaukee player, you might decide to sell. However, finding buyers could be difficult due to the high price and low profit margin.
Once you’ve either sold your contracts or settled them after the prediction market has resolved, there are three ways to withdraw the funds from your cash balance:
Before we finish, here’s a summary of the pros and cons of these event contracts:
To conclude, the event contracts for prediction markets at Kalshi allow you to buy positions for Yes/No outcomes for future events. This covers everything from sports to culture, economics, politics, and more.
The contracts are priced between $0.01 and $1.00 and are based on the probability of the outcome happening. If the market resolves with your outcome being correct, each contract that you purchased settles at $1.00, giving you a profit.
Ready to give it a try? You can start creating your Kalshi account by tapping the banners on this page.
An event contract at Kalshi allows you to buy a Yes/No position on a prediction market. For example, if the market was “Will the Maple Leafs win the Stanley Cup?”, you’d buy “Yes” contracts if you thought they would win.
An event contract at Kalshi will pay out if the prediction market resolves with your prediction being correct. For example, if you bought “Yes” contracts for the “Will the Maple Leafs win the Stanley Cup?” and they won, the market would resolve as a “Yes”. As a result, you’d receive a payout of $1.00 for every contract that you bought.
Yes, if you either sell your contracts or if the prediction market resolves with your contract position being correct, the money will be moved to your cash balance. From here, you can withdraw funds via debit card, bank transfer, or crypto.
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