World Cup early predictions:
Dimers' soccer World Cup predictor is powered by a machine-learning model that estimates expected goals for each team. From those goal forecasts, we generate win probabilities for both sides and the draw.
With the tournament 125 days away, Germany leads all win probabilities with an 89% chance of beating Curaçao. Spain and Argentina also rank among the leading moneyline favorites.
| Team |
Prob. |
Opponent |
Game Date |
| Germany |
89% |
vs. Curaçao |
6/14 |
| Spain |
87% |
vs. Cabo Verde |
6/15 |
| Argentina |
71% |
vs. Algeria |
6/16 |
| Switzerland |
71% |
vs. Qatar |
6/13 |
| Austria |
69% |
vs. Jordan |
6/17 |
World Cup predictions built on clarity, not guesswork
The FIFA World Cup 2026 brings an expanded 48-team format and matches across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. With more teams, more variables, and more unknowns, the need for reliable, model-driven forecasts has never been greater.
Dimers' World Cup predictions draw on 15+ years of international match data, considering the factors that matter most. Instead of leaning on hunches or headlines, our approach evaluates past performance, opponent strength, likely player involvement, and other underlying signals.
Every match is evaluated using a rating system tailored to international soccer. Those ratings inform each team's probability to win, draw, or lose throughout both the group stage and knockout phase.
How our World Cup predictions work
Dimers' World Cup predictions for all 104 games in 2026 are built from the ground up, using:
- Proprietary features and outputs you won't find elsewhere
- Frequent data maintenance to ensure accuracy throughout the tournament
- Regular monitoring to uphold model integrity
This methodology has been sharpened through years of experience forecasting major competitions, including the 2022 World Cup, Euro 2024, and Copa América 2024. Each output is measured, intentional, and grounded in repeatable logic.
Dimers Pro builds on this foundation with deeper World Cup insights for bettors who want a more analytical edge.
Explore more of our World Cup coverage
Stay tuned for continuous updates leading into the 2026 World Cup and throughout every stage of the tournament.
Responsible gambling
World Cup betting should always remain measured and responsible. Responsible gambling resources are available 24/7.
