2026 World Cup Predictions

World Cup 2026 predictions powered by our data-driven simulator. For 6/12, Canada and United States lead Dimers' win probabilities.
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Switzerland
77.9%
Caesars
Qatar
7.9%
Hard Rock Bet
Morocco
19.9%
FanDuel
Brazil
54.1%
DraftKings
Scotland
60.5%
BetMGM
Haiti
18.0%
BetRivers
Türkiye
54.0%
BetRivers
Australia
21.8%
Hard Rock Bet
Curaçao
3.5%
theScore Bet
Germany
88.8%
BetMGM
Japan
25.7%
BetRivers
Netherlands
50.1%
BetRivers
Ecuador
42.7%
Hard Rock Bet
Côte d'Ivoire
26.8%
BetRivers
Tunisia
24.2%
theScore Bet
Sweden
50.5%
DraftKings
Cabo Verde
3.9%
Caesars
Spain
86.2%
BetMGM
Egypt
16.2%
Hard Rock Bet
Belgium
60.5%
theScore Bet
Uruguay
67.2%
bet365
Saudi Arabia
11.5%
Hard Rock Bet
New Zealand
19.4%
FanDuel
Iran
55.0%
DraftKings
Senegal
14.3%
Caesars
France
63.5%
bet365
Norway
75.8%
BetMGM
Iraq
8.4%
Hard Rock Bet
Algeria
10.3%
Hard Rock Bet
Argentina
70.4%
DraftKings
Jordan
13.2%
Hard Rock Bet
Austria
67.8%
DraftKings
Congo DR
8.9%
BetMGM
Portugal
73.2%
BetMGM
Croatia
18.8%
Caesars
England
56.9%
BetMGM
Panama
34.8%
Caesars
Ghana
39.1%
FanDuel
Colombia
67.6%
bet365
Uzbekistan
12.0%
FanDuel
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1
Canada
1
Paraguay
1
United States
4
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers
Fanatics
theScore Bet
Hard Rock Bet
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket

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World Cup predictions

Across Friday's group stage slate, Canada tops the board at a 57.4% win probability against Bosnia and Herzegovina. United States also ranks among the leading moneyline favorites.

Team Prob. Opponent Game Date
Canada 57.4% vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina 7:00PM ET
United States 49.1% vs. Paraguay 7:00PM ET

Dimers' World Cup predictor is powered by a machine learning model that estimates expected goals for each team. From those goal forecasts, we generate win probabilities for both sides and the draw.

World Cup predictor: 2026 predictions & odds

Our World Cup predictor shows which teams are most likely to win matches and progress through the tournament—powered by data, not opinion.

World Cup 2026 expands to 48 teams across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, introducing more matches, more scenarios, and more uncertainty than ever before. With added complexity, it becomes harder to separate real edges from popular narratives—making a probability-driven approach more important.

We model the likelihood of every outcome, helping you quickly see who is most likely to win in 90 minutes and how each team's path through the tournament shapes up. We build our projections on methods refined across major competitions, including the 2022 World Cup, Euro 2024, and Copa América 2024.

Alongside these probabilities, we include the best available sportsbook odds to highlight where the market may be overvaluing or undervaluing teams. By focusing on likelihoods and pricing, the predictor helps you identify potential value and understand how the tournament is most likely to unfold—without relying on hype.

To learn more about the basics of World Cup betting, see our beginner-friendly guide on how to bet on international soccer.

Why use our 2026 World Cup predictor?

Spot betting opportunities before every kickoff.

  • Catch where the price is wrong: Compare our probabilities to market odds and spot value quickly.
  • Read every matchup clearly: Check simple probabilities for 3-way moneyline, totals, and other markets alongside the best available odds.
  • See beyond team strength: Account for match context, opponent strength, and tournament conditions.
  • Stay consistent across every match: One clear view from the group stage through to the final.

No noise. Just an edge you can actually measure.

How our World Cup predictions simulator works

Dimers' team of sports experts, pro bettors, and data scientists builds our predictions from the ground up, in-house. Our team controls, maintains, and updates every data input—for bettors, by bettors. 

We use consistent statistical methods to find value.

  • Predicted with data science: Each matchup is modeled with a wide range of inputs, including matchup data, opponent strength, and match context.
  • Probability over opinion: We forecast results based on how a match is likely to play out—beyond market movement and opinion.
  • Regular updates: Our data model adjusts as new squad and matchup information becomes available.
  • Proven across tournaments: We’ve refined our approach over years of analyzing World Cups, Euros, and Copa América.

The result is a clear, data-backed view of probability and price you can rely on.

Note: Pre-match probabilities reflect 90-minute outcomes; knockout progression markets may differ. 

Learn more about how Dimers uses predictive analytics to identify hidden value.

What World Cup markets do we predict?

We cover the most important World Cup betting markets—each paired with clear probabilities and the best available odds, allowing you to compare price and likelihood easily.

  • H2H (3-way moneyline): Win, draw, and loss probabilities for every match—so you can see the true chances behind each result.
  • Over/under: Projected total goals for each match, with probabilities assigned to different goal lines (e.g., over/under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5), helping you understand whether a game is expected to be high- or low-scoring.
  • First & anytime goalscorer: Player-level projections showing the likelihood of who scores first and which players are most likely to score at any point in the match.

To see more probabilities, including double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), and correct score, unlock full access with Dimers Pro.

Explore more soccer betting tools

Our World Cup 2026 predictions are just the starting point—explore our full suite of tools built to support every type of bet.

See the edge across every World Cup market.

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Bet with clarity, not impulse. Dimers is built to support informed decisions—not rushed ones. Always stay in control and bet within your means. If you're experiencing a problem with sports betting, please see our responsible gambling resources.

Your Questions Answered

How does the Dimers World Cup 2026 Predictor work?
Dimers' World Cup predictor is powered by a machine-learning model that estimates expected goals for each team. From those goal forecasts, we generate win probabilities for both sides and the draw, running 10,000 simulations to find the most likely outcomes.