May 28, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, May 28, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Jessica Shepard [5/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for May 28, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Jessica Shepard, Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Aces vs. Wings and Fever vs. Valkyries, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Thursday, 5/28
Below are the top ten WNBA player props for May 28, ranked by probability.
Jessica Shepard over 9.5 rebounds (-120)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 62.8%
- Projection: 11.8
- Game: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Dallas' Jessica Shepard over 9.5 rebounds. A probability of 62.8% gives this play an edge of 8.2% at -120 odds.
Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored (-116)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Projection: 16.8
- Game: Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Caitlin Clark’s points scored prop shows a 2.0% edge at -116 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 16.8 points scored on the under 19.5 line.
Caitlin Clark under 8.5 assists (+100)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 7.5
- Game: Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Caitlin Clark under 8.5 assists, with simulations showing a 55.5% probability and a 5.5% edge at +100.
Kelsey Mitchell over 2.5 3-pointers made (+110)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 55.2%
- Projection: 2.9
- Game: Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Kelsey Mitchell to record 2.9 3-pointers made today, creating an edge of 7.6% on the over 2.5 line at +110 odds.
Aliyah Boston under 14.5 points scored (-116)
- Edge: 0.4%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Projection: 12.6
- Game: Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Aliyah Boston under 14.5 points scored for Indiana, showing an edge of 0.4% at -116 odds.
Arike Ogunbowale over 15.5 points scored (-103)
- Edge: 1.4%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Projection: 16.5
- Game: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Arike Ogunbowale’s points scored prop shows an edge of 1.4% at -103 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 16.5 today.
Jessica Shepard under 4.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Projection: 4.4
- Game: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jessica Shepard for 4.4 assists for Dallas, creating an edge of 4.9% on under 4.5 at +118 odds.
Paige Bueckers over 5.5 assists (+124)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Projection: 5.0
- Game: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Paige Bueckers for 5.0 assists, creating value on the over 5.5 line at +124 odds and a 2.6% edge.
Gabby Williams to score first basket (+900)
- Edge: 1.9%
- Probability: 11.9%
- Game: Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
A 1.9% edge on the To Score First Basket 5.5 to score first basket line makes Gabby Williams a value play in Fever vs. Valkyries, supported by a 11.9% probability at +900 odds.
Azzi Fudd to score first basket (+1000)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 10.0%
- Game: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Azzi Fudd to score first basket here, with a 10.0% probability and 0.9% edge at +1000 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, May 28, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:12AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aces vs. Wings | Jessica Shepard over 9.5 rebounds | -120 @ Fanatics | 8.2% | 62.8% |
| Fever vs. Valkyries | Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored | -116 @ Fanatics | 2.0% | 55.8% |
| Fever vs. Valkyries | Caitlin Clark under 8.5 assists | +100 @ Fanatics | 7.6% | 55.2% |
| Fever vs. Valkyries | Kelsey Mitchell over 2.5 3-pointers made | +110 @ FanDuel | 7.6% | 55.2% |
| Fever vs. Valkyries | Aliyah Boston under 14.5 points scored | -116 @ Fanatics | 0.4% | 54.1% |
| Aces vs. Wings | Arike Ogunbowale over 15.5 points scored | -103 @ DraftKings | 1.4% | 52.2% |
| Aces vs. Wings | Jessica Shepard under 4.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 4.9% | 50.7% |
| Aces vs. Wings | Paige Bueckers over 5.5 assists | +124 @ FanDuel | 2.6% | 47.2% |
| Fever vs. Valkyries | Gabby Williams to score first basket | +900 @ FanDuel | 1.9% | 11.9% |
| Aces vs. Wings | Azzi Fudd to score first basket | +1000 @ FanDuel | 0.9% | 10.0% |
Conclusion
For May 28, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Jessica Shepard, Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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