Sun vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [5/27/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Wednesday.

Connecticut Sun-Portland Fire Predictions and Game Preview.
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Fire WNBA prediction for Wednesday, May 27, 2026.

The Portland Fire will square off with the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Moda Center on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fire as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Fire game.

The Fire, powered by Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Luisa Geiselsoder, are set to take on the Sun, whose lineup includes Aneesah Morrow, Aaliyah Edwards and Kennedy Burke.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Sun and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Fire a 70% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 60% chance of staying under.

 

Sun vs. Fire odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Sun Fire
Spread +6.5 (-108) -6.5 (-110)
Moneyline +200 -238
Total o166.5 (-108) u166.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Sun +6.5 -108
Moneyline Fire -238
Total Under 166.5 -110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 166.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Sun vs. Fire player props

Betting on Sun vs. Fire WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Aneesah Morrow is expected to lead the Sun with 10 points, 8 rebounds and 1 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fire.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Aneesah Morrow 10 8 1 1 24
Aaliyah Edwards 8 5 1 0 20
Kennedy Burke 8 3 1 1 17
Saniya Rivers 7 2 2 1 18
Diamond Miller 6 2 1 1 14

Fire prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Carla Leite 11 2 3 0 21
B. Carleton 8 4 2 2 20
L. Geiselsoder 8 5 2 2 21
Emily Engstler 8 5 2 1 26
Megan Gustafson 7 3 1 1 13

Sun vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Fire and Sun at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Fire, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

Advertiser disclosure

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