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Read Article Sun vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [5/27/2026]
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Portland Fire will face the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Moda Center on Wednesday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Fire as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Fire game.
The Fire, led by Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Luisa Geiselsoder, will face off against the Sun, who feature Aneesah Morrow, Aaliyah Edwards and Kennedy Burke.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Sun and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fire a 72% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 166.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
Sun vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-112) | -7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -265 |
| Total | o166.5 (-108) | u166.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +7.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Fire | -265 |
| Total | Under 166.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 166.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Fire player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Connecticut vs. Portland game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Aneesah Morrow is expected to lead the Sun with 10 points, 8 rebounds and 1 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fire.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneesah Morrow | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Kennedy Burke | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Saniya Rivers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
| Diamond Miller | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| B. Carleton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Megan Gustafson | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
Sun vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Fire and Sun at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fire, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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