Sparks vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/15/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Minnesota Lynx will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Target Center on Wednesday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Lynx game.
The Lynx, with stars like Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Natasha Howard, will face off against the Sparks, featuring Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lynx an 83.8% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+12.5) have a 58.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 71.6% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Lynx odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-105) | -12.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +590 | -641 |
| Total | o181.5 (-110) | u181.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Lynx picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +12.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | novig+590 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Lynx player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Los Angeles vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kayla McBride is projected to have 18 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Nneka Ogwumike striking first with a 13.8% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Ariel Atkins | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Rae Burrell | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 23 |
Lynx prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 36 |
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| Olivia Miles | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
Sparks vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Lynx and Sparks at Target Center is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Wednesday, July 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with an 83.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
