WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, July 15, 2026
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/15.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, July 15, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Kamilla Cardoso and Nneka Ogwumike lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 15, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 15.8% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 14.5% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.8% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 13.6% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 13.5% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) | 13.4% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.1% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 12.5% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.4% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 12.0% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.4% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 10.9% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 10.7% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 10.7% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 10.6% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.6% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.2% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 8.7% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.2% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 7.6% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.2% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 7.0% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 6.9% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.8% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.8% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.1% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.8% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 5.5% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.8% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 15, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 3.3% | +700 | 15.8% |
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 2.9% | +850 | 13.5% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.4% | +900 | 12.4% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | Valkyries | 2.0% | +780 | 13.4% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 1.1% | +950 | 10.7% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 0.2% | +850 | 10.7% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/15.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, July 15, 2026, Gabby Williams, Kamilla Cardoso and Nneka Ogwumike lead our first basket projections, with Williams shaping as the strongest value play at +700. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
