Oct 21, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 3 of 2026 Finals
Read Article WNBA Finals player props today: Game 3's best props include Kayla Thornton [10/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Wednesday's game.
Dimers' WNBA player props are live for October 21, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kayla Thornton, Jordin Canada and Allisha Gray.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously to analyze every Playoffs matchup and surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market. Today, our focus is on the Valkyries vs. Dream clash.
List of WNBA prop bets for WNBA Finals Game 3
Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for October 21, ranked by probability.
Kayla Thornton over 2.5 rebounds (-161)
- Edge: 11.4%
- Probability: 73.0%
- Projection: 5.1
Our model has found value on Valkyries' Kayla Thornton over 2.5 rebounds. A probability of 73.0% gives this play an edge of 11.4% at -161 odds.
Jordin Canada over 6.5 assists (-152)
- Edge: 12.5%
- Probability: 72.9%
- Projection: 8.3
Jordin Canada’s assists prop shows a 12.5% edge at -152 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 8.3 assists on the over 6.5 line.
Allisha Gray under 3.5 rebounds (-148)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Projection: 2.6
The data highlights value on Allisha Gray under 3.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 63.7% probability and a 4.0% edge at -148.
Isobel Borlase under 3.5 points scored (-101)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 57.3%
- Projection: 2.5
Our model projects Isobel Borlase to record 2.5 points scored today, creating an edge of 7.1% on the under 3.5 line at -101 odds.
Naz Hillmon over 3.5 rebounds (+104)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Projection: 4.7
Simulations indicate value on Naz Hillmon over 3.5 rebounds for Dream, showing an edge of 7.8% at +104 odds.
Veronica Burton over 9.5 points scored (+104)
- Edge: 6.2%
Veronica Burton’s points scored prop shows an edge of 6.2% at +104 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 12.4 today.
Allisha Gray under 1.5 3-pointers made (+111)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Projection: 1.5 Our model projects Allisha Gray for 1.5 3-pointers made for Dream, creating an edge of 5.3% on under 1.5 at +111 odds.
Veronica Burton over 4.5 assists (+117)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Projection: 5.0
Our expert modelling projects Veronica Burton for 5.0 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +117 odds and a 5.2% edge.
Naz Hillmon over 1.5 assists (+154)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 45.4%
- Projection: 1.8
A 6.0% edge on the over 4.5 assists line makes Naz Hillmon a value play in Valkyries vs. Dream, with our model projecting her for 1.8 assists at +154 odds.
Gabby Williams to score first basket (+595)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 18.8%
Simulations show value on Gabby Williams to score first basket here, with a 18.8% probability and 4.5% edge at +595 odds.
WNBA Finals player prop summary: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:56AM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Thornton o2.5 rebounds | -161 @ DraftKings | 11.4% | 73.0% |
| Jordin Canada o6.5 assists | -152 @ DraftKings | 12.5% | 72.9% |
| Allisha Gray u3.5 rebounds | -148 @ FanDuel | 7.1% | 57.3% |
| Isobel Borlase u3.5 points scored | -101 @ DraftKings | 7.1% | 57.3% |
| Naz Hillmon o3.5 rebounds | +104 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 56.8% |
| Veronica Burton o9.5 points scored | +104 @ Polymarket | 6.2% | 55.3% |
| Allisha Gray u1.5 3-pointers made | +111 @ Novig | 5.3% | 52.7% |
| Veronica Burton o4.5 assists | +117 @ Polymarket | 5.2% | 51.3% |
| Naz Hillmon o1.5 assists | +154 @ FanDuel | 6.0% | 45.4% |
| Gabby Williams to score first basket | +595 @ DraftKings | 4.5% | 18.8% |
Conclusion
For October 21, 2026, our WNBA Finals prop bets feature players such as Kayla Thornton, Jordin Canada and Allisha Gray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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