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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/27.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, May 27, 2026—are live with the Raptors' Kiki Iriafen projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Iriafen, Marina Mabrey and Breanna Stewart lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 27, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.8% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 14.0% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 13.9% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.9% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 13.9% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 13.6% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 13.3% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 13.3% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.1% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 13.0% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 12.5% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 12.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.1% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 12.1% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 11.6% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 11.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 11.4% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.4% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.9% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 10.7% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 10.6% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.5% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 10.5% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Williams (Sky) | 9.8% |
| Jovana Nogic (Mercury) | 9.7% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.4% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 9.3% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 9.2% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.1% |
| Kiki Rice (Tempo) | 9.0% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 9.0% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 8.8% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 8.8% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 8.7% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 8.6% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 8.5% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.5% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 8.4% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 8.4% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 8.3% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 8.0% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 7.6% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 7.6% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.3% |
| Betnijah Laney (Liberty) | 7.3% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 7.1% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.8% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.7% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.6% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 6.3% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 6.2% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 5.9% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 5.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 27, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.5% | +950 | 13.0% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 3.5% | +850 | 14.0% |
| Jovana Nogic | Mercury | 2.6% | +1300 | 9.7% |
| Marine Johannes | Liberty | 2.1% | +1500 | 8.4% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 1.9% | +1100 | 10.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 1.6% | +850 | 12.1% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 1.0% | +1100 | 9.4% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 0.7% | +900 | 10.7% |
| Kiki Rice | Tempo | 0.6% | +1100 | 9.0% |
| Nyara Sabally | Tempo | 0.4% | +1100 | 8.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/27.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, May 27, 2026, Kiki Iriafen, Marina Mabrey and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +950. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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