May 27, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Wednesday's picks include Dream vs. Lynx play [5/27/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/27.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, May 27, 2026—are live with the Bulls' Kiki Iriafen projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections make use of detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Iriafen, Kamilla Cardoso and Marina Mabrey lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 27, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.8% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 14.2% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 14.1% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 13.9% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 13.6% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.1% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 13.1% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 13.0% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.7% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 12.5% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 12.3% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 12.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.1% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 11.7% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.6% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 11.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 11.5% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 11.3% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.9% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 10.9% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 10.9% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 10.6% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.5% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 10.2% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 9.7% |
| Jovana Nogic (Mercury) | 9.7% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.4% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 9.3% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 9.2% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.1% |
| Kiki Rice (Tempo) | 9.0% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 8.8% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 8.8% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 8.6% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 8.5% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.5% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 8.2% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.8% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.8% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 7.6% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 7.6% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 7.3% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 7.0% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.8% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.7% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 6.4% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 6.3% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 6.2% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 5.9% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 5.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 27, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 3.0% | +750 | 14.8% |
| Jovana Nogic | Mercury | 2.6% | +1300 | 9.7% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 2.3% | +750 | 14.1% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.1% | +900 | 12.1% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 2.0% | +950 | 11.5% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 1.9% | +800 | 13.0% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 1.9% | +1100 | 10.2% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 1.7% | +1200 | 9.4% |
| Julie Allemand | Tempo | 0.5% | +1600 | 6.4% |
| Nyara Sabally | Tempo | 0.5% | +1100 | 8.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/27.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, May 27, 2026, Kiki Iriafen, Kamilla Cardoso and Marina Mabrey lead our first basket projections, with Iriafen shaping as the strongest value play at +750. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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