Sun vs. Valkyries prediction: Golden State favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [5/25/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Connecticut Sun vs Golden State Valkyries predictions for WNBA Monday.

Connecticut Sun-Golden State Valkyries Predictions and Game Preview.
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries WNBA prediction for Monday, May 25, 2026.

The Golden State Valkyries will square off with the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Chase Center on Monday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Valkyries game.

The Valkyries, with stars like Veronica Burton, Tiffany Hayes and Kayla Thornton, are set to take on the Sun, whose lineup includes Brittney Griner, Kennedy Burke and Aneesah Morrow.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's WNBA matchup between the Sun and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Valkyries an 85% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+13.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 159.5 points has a 61% chance of going over.

 

Sun vs. Valkyries odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Sun Valkyries
Spread +13.5 (-118) -13.5 (-102)
Moneyline +575 -800
Total o159.5 (-110) u159.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Valkyries picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Sun +13.5 -118
Moneyline Sun +575
Total Over 159.5 -110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 159.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Sun vs. Valkyries player props

Betting on Connecticut vs. Golden State WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Sun with 13 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 13 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Brittney Griner 13 6 1 0 26
Kennedy Burke 8 3 1 1 18
Aneesah Morrow 7 7 1 1 21
Aaliyah Edwards 7 6 1 0 21
Diamond Miller 7 2 1 1 14

Valkyries prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Veronica Burton 13 5 6 2 33
Tiffany Hayes 12 4 3 1 25
Kayla Thornton 11 6 1 2 23
Gabby Williams 10 3 3 1 25
Janelle Salaun 9 4 1 2 17

Sun vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Valkyries and Sun at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Monday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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