May 25, 2026
WNBA player props today: Memorial Day best props include Carla Leite [5/25/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, May 25, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/25.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, May 25, 2026—are live with the Knicks' Brittney Griner projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Griner, Breanna Stewart and Satou Sabally lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 25, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 15.3% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 14.8% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 12.3% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 12.1% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 11.4% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 11.0% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 10.9% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 10.3% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 10.2% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 10.1% |
| Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) | 10.1% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.6% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.1% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 9.1% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 9.1% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.1% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 8.0% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 7.3% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 6.5% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 4.8% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 25, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.2% | +1000 | 10.3% |
| Tiffany Hayes | Valkyries | 1.0% | +1000 | 10.1% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 0.8% | +1100 | 9.1% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder | Fire | 0.1% | +1300 | 7.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/25.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, May 25, 2026, Brittney Griner, Breanna Stewart and Satou Sabally lead our first basket projections, while Gabby Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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