Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Aces vs. Wings play [5/28/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, May 28, 2026.

Today’s best WNBA bets for May 28, 2026 are here, with Aces vs. Wings and Lynx vs. Sky among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to find genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [5/28, updated 7:47PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, May 28, 2026.
Aces ML (-186)
- Edge: 13.8%
- Probability: 78.8%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Aces to defeat Wings at -186 odds. A 78.8% probability produces an edge of 13.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Lynx vs. Sky under 170.5 points (+106)
- Edge: 13.2%
- Probability: 61.7%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Lynx vs. Sky under 170.5 points carries a 13.2% edge and a probability of 61.7% at +106 odds, according to our model.
Aces -5.5 (+104)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
Aces -5.5 vs. Wings at +104 odds shows a 10.9% edge, supported by a 59.9% probability in simulations.
Aces vs. Wings under 176.5 points (+102)
- Edge: 10.6%
- Probability: 60.1%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)
A 10.6% edge and 60.1% probability make Aces vs. Wings under 176.5 points at a value play in the Aces vs. Wings matchup, per our model.
Sparks vs. Mystics under 169 points (-105)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 60%
- Matchup: Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Sparks vs. Mystics under 169 points at -105 odds presents a 8.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60%.
Mercury vs. Liberty under 169.5 points (-102)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Our model finds value on under 169.5 points in Mercury vs. Liberty at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 6.6%.
Sky +4.5 (+100)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 56%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Our model has uncovered value on Sky +4.5 at +100 odds. A 56% probability produces a 6.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
Liberty ML (-208)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 72.8%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
A 5.2% edge on a 72.8% probability makes Liberty to win at -208 odds a solid value play in today's Mercury vs. Liberty matchup.
Mystics ML (-117)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 57.3%
- Matchup: Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Our model projects value on Mystics to win at -117 odds. A 57.3% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making Mystics the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.
Fever -1.5 (+130)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 46.5%
- Matchup: Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Fever -1.5 at +130 odds shows a 46.5% probability and a 3.0% edge.
WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 5/28/2026
As of 7:47PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aces vs. Wings | Aces ML | -186 @ Novig | 13.8% | 78.8% |
| Lynx vs. Sky | Under 170.5 Points | +106 @ Polymarket | 13.2% | 61.7% |
| Aces vs. Wings | Aces -5.5 | +104 @ Novig | 10.9% | 59.9% |
| Aces vs. Wings | Under 176.5 Points | +102 @ Polymarket | 10.6% | 60.1% |
| Sparks vs. Mystics | Under 169 Points | -105 @ Caesars | 8.7% | 60% |
| Mercury vs. Liberty | Under 169.5 Points | -102 @ Polymarket | 6.6% | 57.1% |
| Lynx vs. Sky | Sky +4.5 | +100 @ Polymarket | 6.0% | 56% |
| Mercury vs. Liberty | Liberty ML | -208 @ espnbet | 5.2% | 72.8% |
| Sparks vs. Mystics | Mystics ML | -117 @ Polymarket | 3.3% | 57.3% |
| Fever vs. Valkyries | Fever -1.5 | +130 @ Polymarket | 3.0% | 46.5% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/28/2026]
- Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Fever vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 28, 2026, featuring plays such as Aces ML and under 170.5 points in the Lynx vs. Sky matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.



