Jul 15, 2026
Valkyries vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 14 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/15/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, May 28, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/28.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, May 28, 2026—are live with the Mavericks' Chennedy Carter projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Carter, A'ja Wilson and Paige Bueckers lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 28, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Chennedy Carter (Aces) | 15.1% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 14.1% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 14.0% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.5% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 11.9% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.7% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 11.0% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 11.0% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.0% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 9.0% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 8.8% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.7% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 8.4% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 8.3% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 8.1% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.2% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.8% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 6.7% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.8% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 28, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | Fever | 1.7% | +1900 | 6.7% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.4% | +850 | 11.9% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 0.9% | +1000 | 10.0% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 0.7% | +650 | 14.0% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/28.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Thursday, May 28, 2026, Chennedy Carter, A'ja Wilson and Paige Bueckers lead our first basket projections, while Lexie Hull shapes as the strongest value play at +1900. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure
