Valkyries vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Game 6 [2026 WNBA Finals]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Dream a 71.1% chance of beating the Valkyries in Game 6 of the series. According to our model, the Dream (-4.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 147.5-point over/under has a 67.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valkyries +4.5 (+100) / Dream -4.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Valkyries +178, Dream -182
• Total: Over/Under 147.5 (-105/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for Game 6

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dream -4.5 @ 51¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Dream @ 65¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 147.5 @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 147.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top Game 6 player props

Betting on Valkyries vs. Dream WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Angel Reese is projected to have 16 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.

For early game action, the data identifies Gabby Williams as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

• Gabby Williams: 18 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
• Veronica Burton: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
• Kayla Thornton: 10 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST
• Tiffany Hayes: 10 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST
• Cecilia Zandalasini: 10 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

Dream player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

• Angel Reese: 16 PTS, 11 REB, 3 AST
• Rhyne Howard: 16 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
• Allisha Gray: 13 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST
• Jordin Canada: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 8 AST
• Naz Hillmon: 8 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's Game 6 between the Dream and Valkyries at State Farm Arena is scheduled to begin at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30 AM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 71.1% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.