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San Luis vs. Tigres UANL prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get San Luis vs Tigres UANL predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Atletico San Luis and Tigres UANL will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Alfonso Lastras on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of the Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Atletico San Luis and Tigres UANL 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 26.6% chance of Atletico San Luis winning, a 48.8% chance for Tigres UANL, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico San Luis | Tigres UANL | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +220 | +125 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -108 | -112 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tigres UANL | +125 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -108 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigres UANL to win.
Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ASL 1-1 TUA | 11.7% |
| ASL 0-1 TUA | 10.3% |
| ASL 1-2 TUA | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.4% chance of the yes hitting, and a 45.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
San Luis vs. Tigres UANL game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Atletico San Luis and Tigres UANL at Estadio Alfonso Lastras is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico San Luis has a 26.6% win probability on Sunday, Tigres UANL has a 48.8% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico San Luis vs. Tigres UANL insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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