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San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get San Luis vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET as Pachuca squares off with Atletico San Luis in the playoffs at Estadio Alfonso Lastras.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts San Luis as the most likely winner of the Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 38.1% chance of Atletico San Luis winning, a 37.3% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico San Luis | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +155 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -115 | -111 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Luis | +165 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -115 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ASL 1-1 PCH | 11.5% |
| ASL 2-1 PCH | 8.4% |
| ASL 1-2 PCH | 8.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.1% chance of both Atletico San Luis and Pachuca finding the net and a 40.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
San Luis vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca at Estadio Alfonso Lastras is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico San Luis has a 38.1% win probability on Saturday, Pachuca has a 37.3% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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