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Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [2/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Pumas UNAM and Monterrey will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, with kickoff at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Pumas UNAM and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 40.7% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 33.4% chance for Monterrey, and a 25.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pumas UNAM | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +170 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -118 | -104 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +150 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -104 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 1-1 MNT | 12.3% |
| PUM 1-0 MNT | 9.8% |
| PUM 0-1 MNT | 8.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.2% chance of the yes hitting, and a 45.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between Pumas UNAM and Monterrey is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey
- Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 40.7% win probability on Sunday, Monterrey has a 33.4% win probability, and there is a 25.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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