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Puebla vs. Juarez prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Puebla vs Juarez predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Puebla and Juarez will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Puebla as the most likely winner of the Puebla vs. Juarez game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Puebla vs. Juarez prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Juarez, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 37.7% chance of Puebla winning, a 36.6% chance for Juarez, and a 25.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Puebla vs. Juarez odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Puebla | Juarez | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +170 | +150 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -108 | -118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Puebla vs. Juarez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Puebla | +170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -108 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Puebla vs. Juarez: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-1 JUA | 12.2% |
| PUE 1-0 JUA | 9.1% |
| PUE 0-1 JUA | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Puebla vs. Juarez game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Puebla and Juarez is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Juarez
- Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 37.7% win probability on Friday, Juarez has a 36.6% win probability, and there is a 25.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Puebla vs. Juarez insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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