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Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pachuca vs Santos Laguna predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 9:00 PM ET as Santos Laguna locks horns with Pachuca in the playoffs at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner of the Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Pachuca and Santos Laguna, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 67.9% chance of Pachuca winning, a 13.8% chance for Santos Laguna, and an 18.2% chance of a draw.
Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Pachuca | Santos Laguna | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -235 | +600 | +430 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santos Laguna | +600 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Santos Laguna to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Pachuca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PCH 2-0 SLA | 10.4% |
| PCH 2-1 SLA | 9.7% |
| PCH 1-0 SLA | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.7% chance of both Pachuca and Santos Laguna finding the net and a 45.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Pachuca and Santos Laguna at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pachuca vs. Santos Laguna
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 67.9% win probability on Saturday, Santos Laguna has a 13.8% win probability, and there is an 18.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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