Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [10/27/2024]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Necaxa-Toluca Predictions and Game Preview.
Estadio Victoria sets the stage for the Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Toluca this Sunday.

Necaxa will face Toluca in Liga MX action at Estadio Victoria on Sunday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Necaxa-Toluca game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Necaxa a 29.9% chance of winning, Toluca a 45.9% chance, and a 24.2% chance of a draw."

Necaxa vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between Necaxa and Toluca at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

  • Who: Necaxa vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
  • Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Necaxa vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Necaxa picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20SOCCER at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Necaxa and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 29.9% chance of Necaxa winning, a 45.9% chance for Toluca, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Necaxa vs. Toluca Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Necaxa Toluca Draw
+195 +145 +260

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-160 +115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Necaxa vs. Toluca Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Necaxa vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Necaxa vs. Toluca: Correct Score Prediction

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
NXA 1-1 TOL 11.3%
NXA 1-2 TOL 9.3%
NXA 0-1 TOL 8.8%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 29.9% win probability on Sunday, Toluca has a 45.9% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on Liga MX

Keep up with the latest Liga MX news, Liga MX best bets and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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