Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/18/2026]
Get Monterrey vs Santos Laguna predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Monterrey will square off with Santos Laguna in Liga MX action at Estadio BBVA on Saturday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 70.7% chance of Monterrey winning, a 12.6% chance for Santos Laguna, and a 16.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 67.4% chance of going over, with a 57.0% likelihood that both teams score.
Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Santos Laguna | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -190 | +500 | +360 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -225 | +170 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Monterrey @ -190 via BetMGM
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -225 via Bet365
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Monterrey win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 2-0 SLA | 9.7% |
| MNT 2-1 SLA | 9.4% |
| MNT 3-0 SLA | 8.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Monterrey and Santos Laguna at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 70.7% win probability on Saturday, Santos Laguna has a 12.6% win probability, and there is a 16.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
