Atlas vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Club Leon Liga MX match on July 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
3
2
Club Leon
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
AtlasATL
D. Cambindo (27')
Soccer ball icon
D. Cambindo (42')
Red Card icon
J. Cortizo (77')
Soccer ball icon
Duk (2')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (50')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rocha (pen.) (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Leon
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlas
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Alvarado (Club Leon) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Lozano replaces Duk
  3. 85'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    M. Capasso (Atlas) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: F. Beltran Cruz replaces I. Moreno
  6. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by J. Cortizo, assisted by A. Alvarado
    3-2
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: L. Valadez replaces R. Echeverria
  8. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rocha (pen.)
    3-1
  9. 73'
    Yellow Card
    R. Echeverria (Club Leon) cautioned
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces E. Zaldivar
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Esteves replaces A. Gonzalez
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: A. Alvarado replaces I. Diaz
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: E. Guerra replaces D. Arcila
  14. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces S. Santos
  15. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by Gustavo Ferrareis
    2-1
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: M. Valenzuela replaces J. Rodriguez
  17. 42'
    Red Card
    D. Cambindo (Club Leon) sent off with a straight red card
  18. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Cambindo
    1-1
  19. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by Duk
    1-0

Atlas vs. Club Leon: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +245, Club Leon +125, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 24.3%
  • Club Leon: 51.0%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 1-1 Club Leon (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Atlas vs. Club Leon? Prediction & correct score

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.0%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 1-1 Club Leon.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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