Puebla vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Juarez Liga MX match on July 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
0
Jul 17, 11:00 PM ET
Juarez
Jul 17, 11:00 PM ET
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
I. Maestro (11')
Soccer ball icon
I. Moreno (64')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: O. Villa replaces K. Velasco
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces I. Maestro
74'
Yellow Card
Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
69'
Yellow Card
I. Maestro (Puebla) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Leyva replaces A. Organista
64'
Red Card
I. Moreno (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces O. Estupinan
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin replaces J. Aquino
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. M. Torres Ramirez I. replaces Monchu
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: S. Sanabria replaces A. Ramirez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Rodriguez replaces Madson
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by I. Maestro, assisted by A. Herrera
1-0
7'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Garcia replaces L. Romero

Puebla vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Juarez
  • Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +400, Juarez -140, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 22.1%
  • Juarez: 55.3%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 1-1 Juarez (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Puebla vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Juarez is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.3%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Puebla vs. Juarez, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.