Juarez vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/17/2026]
Get Juarez vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Juarez will take on Puebla in Liga MX action on Friday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Juarez as the most likely winner of the Juarez vs. Puebla game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Juarez vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model suggests a 53.1% chance of Juarez winning, a 23.6% chance for Puebla, and a 23.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55.3% chance of going over, with a 55.9% probability that both teams find the net.
Juarez vs. Puebla odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Juarez | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -141 | +400 | +295 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Juarez vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Puebla @ +400 via Bet365
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via DraftKings
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Juarez vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| JUA 1-1 PUE | 11% |
| JUA 2-1 PUE | 9.8% |
| JUA 1-0 PUE | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Juarez vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Juarez and Puebla is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Juarez vs. Puebla
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Juarez has a 53.1% win probability on Friday, Puebla has a 23.6% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
