Cruz Azul vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. San Luis Liga MX match on July 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
2
Estadio Libertad Financiera
San Luis
Estadio Libertad Financiera
San LuisASL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
S. Salles-Lamonge (46')
Soccer ball icon
R. Llorente (50')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (pen.) (63')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (81')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    3-2
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces R. Llorente
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Paradela
  4. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by L. Romero
    2-2
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces Lucas Esteves
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces E. Lira
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces D. Rodriguez
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card
    Robson Bambu (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Najera replaces L. Flores
  10. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez (pen.)
    1-2
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Ebere
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces O. Campos
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces A. Palavecino
  14. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Llorente, assisted by L. Flores
    0-2
  15. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge
    0-1
  16. 33'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 14'
    Yellow Card
    R. Llorente (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

Cruz Azul vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. San Luis
  • Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Libertad Financiera

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul -127, San Luis +440, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 54.2%
  • San Luis: 22.9%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 San Luis (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.2%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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