Tigres UANL vs. Club Tijuana Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Club Tijuana Liga MX match on July 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
1
3
Estadio Caliente
Club Tijuana
Estadio Caliente
Club TijuanaTIJ
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
R. Arciga (32')
Soccer ball icon
M. El Ghezouani (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. El Ghezouani (90')
Soccer ball icon
R. Aguirre (45')
Red Card icon
O. Herrera (56')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Tijuana
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by M. El Ghezouani (pen.)
    1-2
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Vigon (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by M. El Ghezouani
    1-3
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    N. Guzman (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces D. Lainez
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces O. Herrera
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: F. Boya replaces R. Fernandez
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: F. I. Ordonez Delgado replaces V. Lorona
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card
    J. Porozo (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  10. 69'
    Yellow Card
    A. Preciado (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  11. 69'
    Yellow Card
    F. Gorriaran (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  12. 69'
    Yellow Card
    V. Lorona (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  13. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Perez replaces Y. Padilla
  14. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: M. El Ghezouani replaces D. Abreu
  15. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Vega replaces P. N. Ortiz Orozco
  16. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by O. Herrera, assisted by Joaquim
    1-1
  17. 45'
    Red Card
    R. Aguirre (Tigres UANL) sent off with a straight red card
  18. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by R. Arciga, assisted by Y. Padilla
    0-1
  19. 17'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Zapata replaces I. Rivero

Tigres UANL vs. Club Tijuana: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Club Tijuana
  • Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Caliente

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +110, Club Tijuana +260, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 52.8%
  • Club Tijuana: 23.9%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Club Tijuana (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Club Tijuana? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.8%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Club Tijuana.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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