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Read Article Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [5/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM matchup.
Monterrey will take on Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, commencing at 9:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Monterrey-Pumas UNAM game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Monterrey a 51.5% chance of winning, Pumas UNAM a 23.2% chance, and a 25.3% chance of a draw."
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Monterrey and Pumas UNAM 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 51.5% chance of Monterrey winning, a 23.2% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:08AM, May 5
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
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Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM Odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -130 | +370 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +102 | -142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Monterrey-Pumas UNAM Pick Get Dimers Pro Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Monterrey win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 1-0 PUM | 12.4% |
| MNT 1-1 PUM | 12% |
| MNT 2-0 PUM | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.1% chance that both Monterrey and Pumas UNAM score, and a 50.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's game between Monterrey and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to begin at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Pumas UNAM vs. Monterrey picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 51.5% win probability on Sunday, Pumas UNAM has a 23.2% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Monterrey vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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