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Mazatlan vs. Juarez prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mazatlan vs Juarez predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Liga MX action continues on Friday at 8:00 PM ET as Juarez takes on Mazatlan in the playoffs at .
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Juarez as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Juarez game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Juarez prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Mazatlan and Juarez 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 34.5% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 38.0% chance for Juarez, and a 27.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Juarez odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Juarez | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +200 | +135 | +230 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -122 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Juarez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +200 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -122 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Mazatlan vs. Juarez: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 1-1 JUA | 13% |
| MZA 0-1 JUA | 11.1% |
| MZA 1-0 JUA | 10.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 50.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Mazatlan vs. Juarez game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between Mazatlan and Juarez is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Juarez
- Date: Friday, January 9, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 34.5% win probability on Friday, Juarez has a 38.0% win probability, and there is a 27.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mazatlan vs. Juarez insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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