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Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mazatlan vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Mazatlan will face Cruz Azul in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio El Encanto on Friday, starting at 11:06 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX game between Mazatlan and Cruz Azul 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 19.0% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 57.4% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +400 | -165 | +350 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -176 | +142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +400 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +142 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 0-1 CAZ | 12.6% |
| MZA 1-1 CAZ | 11.2% |
| MZA 0-2 CAZ | 10.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Mazatlan and Cruz Azul at Estadio El Encanto is scheduled to commence at 11:06 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 11:06 PM ET/8:06PM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Encanto
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 19.0% win probability on Friday, Cruz Azul has a 57.4% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mazatlan vs. Cruz Azul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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