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Juarez vs. Toluca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/26/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Juarez vs Toluca predictions for Liga MX Wednesday.

Juarez-Toluca Predictions and Game Preview.
Juarez vs. Toluca Liga MX prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025.

Juarez will take on Toluca in Liga MX action on Wednesday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of the Juarez vs. Toluca game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Juarez vs. Toluca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Liga MX game between Juarez and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 25.1% chance of Juarez winning, a 51.1% chance for Toluca, and a 23.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Juarez vs. Toluca odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Juarez Toluca Draw
+260 +105 +245

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-106 -114

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Juarez vs. Toluca picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Toluca +105
Total Goals Over 2.5 -106

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

 

Juarez vs. Toluca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
JUA 1-1 TOL 11.2%
JUA 0-1 TOL 9.8%
JUA 1-2 TOL 9.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.0% chance that both Juarez and Toluca score, and a 44.0% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Juarez vs. Toluca game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between Juarez and Toluca is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

  • Who: Juarez vs. Toluca
  • Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
  • Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT

 

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Juarez has a 25.1% win probability on Wednesday, Toluca has a 51.1% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Juarez vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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