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Juarez vs. San Luis prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Juarez vs San Luis predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Juarez and Atletico San Luis will meet in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, with kickoff at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Juarez as the most likely winner of the Juarez vs. Atletico San Luis game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Juarez vs. Atletico San Luis prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Atletico San Luis, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 49.2% chance of Juarez winning, a 27.1% chance for Atletico San Luis, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Juarez vs. Atletico San Luis odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Juarez | Atletico San Luis | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +230 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Juarez vs. Atletico San Luis picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juarez | +105 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +120 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Juarez to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Juarez vs. Atletico San Luis: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| JUA 1-1 ASL | 11.1% |
| JUA 2-1 ASL | 9.5% |
| JUA 1-0 ASL | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.0% chance of both Juarez and Atletico San Luis finding the net and a 42.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Juarez vs. San Luis game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Juarez and Atletico San Luis is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Juarez vs. Atletico San Luis
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Juarez has a 49.2% win probability on Saturday, Atletico San Luis has a 27.1% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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