...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Guadalajara will face Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, starting at 10:07 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 53.9% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 21.4% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Guadalajara | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -190 | +500 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -144 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +500 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +118 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 1-0 PUM | 12.6% |
| GUA 1-1 PUM | 11.7% |
| GUA 2-0 PUM | 10.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to commence at 10:07 PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 10:07 PM ET/7:07PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 53.9% win probability on Sunday, Pumas UNAM has a 21.4% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure