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Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Thursday.
Guadalajara will take on Cruz Azul in Liga MX Thanksgiving Day action on Thanksgiving Day, commencing at 9:07PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Liga MX matchup between Guadalajara and Cruz Azul 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 38.6% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 34.1% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 27.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Guadalajara | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +135 | +220 | +230 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -105 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cruz Azul | +220 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -115 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.
Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 1-1 CAZ | 12.9% |
| GUA 1-0 CAZ | 11% |
| GUA 0-1 CAZ | 10.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.8% chance of the yes hitting, and a 50.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between Guadalajara and Cruz Azul is scheduled to begin at 9:07PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025 (Thanksgiving Day)
- Time: 9:07PM ET/6:07PM PT
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 38.6% win probability on Thanksgiving Day, Cruz Azul has a 34.1% win probability, and there is a 27.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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