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Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Cruz Azul vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Cruz Azul will face Puebla in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Cruz Azul vs. Puebla game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Puebla 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 70.5% chance of Cruz Azul winning, an 11.6% chance for Puebla, and a 17.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Cruz Azul | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -255 | +700 | +380 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -162 | +126 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Puebla | +700 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +126 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CAZ 2-0 PUE | 12.1% |
| CAZ 1-0 PUE | 10.8% |
| CAZ 2-1 PUE | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.8% chance that both Cruz Azul and Puebla score, and a 51.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Cruz Azul and Puebla is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cruz Azul vs. Puebla
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 70.5% win probability on Saturday, Puebla has an 11.6% win probability, and there is a 17.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cruz Azul vs. Puebla insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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