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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Cruz Azul will square off with Guadalajara in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Guadalajara 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 50.4% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 24.3% chance for Guadalajara, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Cruz Azul | Guadalajara | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +240 | +235 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -114 | -106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cruz Azul | +110 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -106 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.
Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CAZ 1-0 GUA | 12% |
| CAZ 1-1 GUA | 12% |
| CAZ 2-0 GUA | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.2% chance that both teams scoring, and a 49.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Cruz Azul and Guadalajara is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara
- Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 50.4% win probability on Sunday, Guadalajara has a 24.3% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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