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Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Club Tijuana vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Wednesday.
Club Tijuana and Pachuca will meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Caliente on Wednesday, with kickoff at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner of the Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Liga MX matchup between Club Tijuana and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 36.3% chance of Club Tijuana winning, a 39.2% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Club Tijuana | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +180 | +138 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Tijuana | +180 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -135 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Tijuana to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TIJ 1-1 PCH | 11.4% |
| TIJ 1-2 PCH | 8.6% |
| TIJ 2-1 PCH | 8.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 40.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between Club Tijuana and Pachuca at Estadio Caliente is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Club Tijuana vs. Pachuca
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Caliente
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Club Tijuana has a 36.3% win probability on Wednesday, Pachuca has a 39.2% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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