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Club America vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Club America vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Club America will take on Cruz Azul in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes on Saturday, commencing at 11:05 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Club America as the most likely winner of the Club America vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Club America vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Club America and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 42.7% chance of Club America winning, a 31.4% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 25.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Club America vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Club America | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +200 | +150 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +120 | -165 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Club America vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club America | +200 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +120 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club America to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Club America vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AME 1-1 CAZ | 12.3% |
| AME 1-0 CAZ | 10.2% |
| AME 2-1 CAZ | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.5% chance of both Club America and Cruz Azul finding the net and a 46.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Club America vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Club America and Cruz Azul at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes is scheduled to start at 11:05 PM ET.
- Who: Club America vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 11:05 PM ET/8:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Club America has a 42.7% win probability on Saturday, Cruz Azul has a 31.4% win probability, and there is a 25.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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