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Atlas vs. Toluca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlas vs Toluca predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Atlas will take on Toluca in Liga MX action at Estadio Jalisco on Saturday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of the Atlas vs. Toluca game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atlas vs. Toluca prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Atlas and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 22.0% chance of Atlas winning, a 56.5% chance for Toluca, and a 21.5% chance of a draw.
Atlas vs. Toluca odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Atlas | Toluca | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +410 | -160 | +320 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atlas vs. Toluca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlas | +410 |
| According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atlas to win. |
Atlas vs. Toluca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATS 1-2 TOL | 9.8% |
| ATS 1-1 TOL | 9.8% |
| ATS 0-2 TOL | 8.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.7% chance that both Atlas and Toluca score, and a 40.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Atlas vs. Toluca game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Atlas and Toluca at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlas vs. Toluca
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Jalisco
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atlas has a 22.0% win probability on Saturday, Toluca has a 56.5% win probability, and there is a 21.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atlas vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Liga MX
Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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