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Atlas vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlas vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Atlas will take on Queretaro in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Jalisco on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Atlas as the most likely winner of the Atlas vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atlas vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Atlas and Queretaro 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 50.6% chance of Atlas winning, a 24.0% chance for Queretaro, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Atlas vs. Queretaro odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atlas | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -105 | +300 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +106 | -130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atlas vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlas | -105 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +106 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atlas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atlas vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Atlas win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATS 1-0 QUE | 12.2% |
| ATS 1-1 QUE | 12.1% |
| ATS 2-0 QUE | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.6% chance of both Atlas and Queretaro finding the net and a 50.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Atlas vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Atlas and Queretaro at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlas vs. Queretaro
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Jalisco
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atlas has a 50.6% win probability on Saturday, Queretaro has a 24.0% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atlas vs. Queretaro insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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