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Atlas vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlas vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Atlas and Puebla will meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Jalisco on Friday, with kickoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Atlas as the most likely winner of the Atlas vs. Puebla game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atlas vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Atlas and Puebla 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 51.0% chance of Atlas winning, a 24.3% chance for Puebla, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Atlas vs. Puebla odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atlas | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +245 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -105 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atlas vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlas | +110 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -105 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atlas to win.
Atlas vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATS 1-1 PUE | 11.8% |
| ATS 1-0 PUE | 11.3% |
| ATS 2-1 PUE | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.9% chance that both Atlas and Puebla score, and a 48.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Atlas vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Atlas and Puebla at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlas vs. Puebla
- Date: Friday, January 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Jalisco
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atlas has a 51.0% win probability on Friday, Puebla has a 24.3% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atlas vs. Puebla insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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